美國股市在關稅帶動飆漲後面臨阻力

在美國和中國宣布達成臨時貿易協議後, 美國股市 飆升。

SPX 500 - Daily Chart
標普500指數-日圖

標準普爾500指數目前正在測試5,796點的阻力位,這是前期高點附近的障礙。

這兩個經濟大國同意削減關稅,緩和貿易戰。在財政部長貝森特表示與中國的貿易談判「非常強勁且富有成效」後,風險偏好情緒重返資產市場。中美雙方同意在3個月的時間內彼此暫時降低對方產品的關稅,其中美國對中國的關稅從145%降至30%,中國對美國的關稅從125%降至10%。財政部長貝森特說,兩國都不想“脫鉤”,進一步的談判可能會導致中國達成“購買協議”。

市場現在將看到貿易戰最重要方面的結束,買家可能會回歸。市場也將關注美國的零售銷售等數據。對於6月17-18日的聯邦公開市場委員會會議,交易員現在認為降息25個基點的可能性為8%。

財報季仍在持續,彭博智庫彙編的數據顯示,市場普遍認為,標準普爾500指數成分股第一季的獲利將年增6.7%,低於11月初預期的+11.1%。

投資人將希望關稅鬧劇結束,標普500指數可以瞄準先前的市場高點。

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