假日交易恢復,股指期貨走高

聖誕節交易結束後,市場積極回歸。

SP500-Daily-Chart-27-Dec-23

標普500指數—日圖

標準普爾500指數 非常接近歷史高點4820點,這將是1月的目標。

美國標準普爾500指數3月期貨上漲0.14%, 那斯達克100  E-Mini 3月期貨在聖誕節假期後恢復交易,週二上漲0.18%。 在上周美國通膨報告走軟之後,投資人正消化聯準會明年將更早、更大幅度降息的預期。

上週五,華爾街股指漲跌互現,在百時美施貴寶同意以140億美元現金收購製藥公司Karuna Therapeutics後,該公司股價上漲47%。 然而,在耐吉這家運動服飾巨頭公佈了喜憂參半的第二季業績和謹慎的下半年營收指引後,股價暴跌約11%。

美國商務部的關鍵數據顯示,美國核心個人消費支出物價指數(聯準會的一個關鍵通膨指標)在11月年增0.1%,較去年同期上漲3.2%。 這低於預期的月增率0.2%和年增率3.3%。 11月個人支出也較上月增加0.2%,12月密西根消費者信心指數修正至5個月高點69.7,超過預期的69.4。

「數據非常溫和,當然,這是聯準會衡量通膨的主要指標。但核心數據低於預期,營收數據也低於預期,這對市場來說是積極的,表明通膨正在下降,」Ingalls & Snyder高級 投資組合策略師Tim Griskey表示。

市場目前認為,在1月的下一次會議上降息25個基點的可能性為14%,但在3月的會議上降息的可能性為75%。

亞洲股市漲跌互現,中國上證綜合指數下跌0.68%, 日本日經225指數 上漲0.16%。 儘管相關部門退出了對電子遊戲產業的打擊,但中國市場的人氣仍然低迷。 半導體和遊戲類股上週下跌,但周一批准的105家國內遊戲提振了該行業的前景。

日本央行行長表示,不急於結束寬鬆的低利率政策,提振了日經指數。

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