經濟數據將考驗歐元兌加幣匯率的升勢

德國和加拿大的數據將在周三考驗歐元兌加元匯率。

EURCAD – Daily Chart

歐元兌加幣-日圖

歐元兌加元 已升至1.4927上方,但即將發布的數據可能會決定價格是會在這裡失敗,還是會繼續上升至1.50428。

隨著 油價 的調整,歐元兌加幣匯率自6月底以來一直在反彈。加拿大經濟的疲軟也對歐元有利。

德國GfK消費者信心指數將於香港時間週三下午2點公佈。下午3:30的另一個關注數據是HCOB製造業數據。

分析師預計,儘管最近降息,但消費者信心指數將從-21.8降至-21。週二,歐洲消費者信心指數也略有下降,從14.0降至13.0。週二,西班牙歐洲央行官員路易斯·德金多斯表示,通膨數據「實際上與我們的預測相符」。

“數據方面,9月份比7月份更便於做決定。目前的不確定性很大,所以我們在做決定時必須謹慎。”

德金多斯說,歐洲央行將密切關注薪資成長情況。然而,馮德萊恩的連任和法國大選也存在不確定性。

德國數據公佈後,加拿大央行將在晚間稍後公佈利率決定。市場預期聯準會將再降息25個基點,從4.75%降至4.5%。

Convera Canada高級分析師Michael Goshko表示:“加拿大隻是跟隨 大宗商品 價格下跌的趨勢。”“所有的大宗商品貨幣都在遭受重創。”

加拿大是石油等大宗商品的主要生產國,由於對中國需求的擔憂,石油目前處於六週以來的低點。

Goshko表示,”明天加拿大央行可能面臨一些事件風險,以及他們希望表現得多麼溫和。”

降息25個基點可能會讓加幣走強,而德國疲軟的經濟數據也將有助於止住近期的漲勢。

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